Crime data of Bucktown and surrounding Chicago neighborhoods (and some commentary)

Citywide Arrests by District - Oct 20, 2017

Here are stats on arrests for the City of Chicago, by district, for years 2014 to 2017.



These include ALL arrests processed and recorded by CPD made within a given district's boundaries for any and all crimes (robbery, burglary, domestic, failure to appear in court, etc.)

The numbers for 2017 are YTD Jan 1 to Oct 7, otherwise these are actual for each year listed.  2017 appears to be on course to finish with the fewest arrests citywide (and at each district level).

Source for Data:  Chicago Police Dept

14th District Arrest Rates - Oct 16, 2017

Here are some stats on arrests for the 14th District.

Note:  This includes all arrests that occur and are processed in the 14th district, not just crimes reported to have originated in the 14th district. 


In any case, in 2017, 14th district is on pace to have the fewest arrests of the last 4 years.  We'll probably come in at around 1,500.


Robberies in Chicago - Oct 5, 2017

We've looked at it already, but how does the spike in vehicular hijackings (a type of "robbery") compare with all robberies in general?


If you look at the citywide total for 2017, we are on track to practically duplicate the total incidents of robbery for 2016. 

A closer look at the district level reveals similar patterns of robbery in the Bucktown neighborhood and surrounding areas.  The 14th District hasn't seen this many robberies since 2010 and the 18th district since 2008.

Likewise, residents just south of us in the 12th District will probably see more robberies by the end of 2017 than the previous 10 years, surpassing even their highest number of 2008.

Lastly, when you compare 2017 with the relatively quiet year of 2015, the district of the entire city which has the greatest increase in robberies is the 14th District.  That's a projected 74% increase in robberies over 2015, just barely beating the 1st District. 



Overall, the city will likely see a 24% increase (or more) in robberies in 2017 vs 2015.

(Jan 1, 2006 to Sept 27, 2017 is actual data provided by City of Chicago.  

Total for 2017 is a forecast using data from same time period of previous year Sept 28 to Dec 31.  The final 2017 total will likely be higher.)

More on Vehicular Hijackings - Oct 4, 2017

Chicago is on pace to have the highest number of Vehicular Hijackings since 2007.  Wonder why.



14th District (Bucktown's District) will likely see more vehicular hijackings by the end of 2017 than the previous 4 years combined.


(Jan 1, 2006 to Sept 27, 2017 is actual data provided by City of Chicago.  

Total for 2017 is a forecast by using data from same time period of previous year Sept 28 to Dec 31.  The final 2017 total will likely be higher.)

Why Chicago Crime is on the Rise - Oct 2, 2017

This interview with Peter Kirsanow is an excellent synopsis of why crime is currently on the rise and certainly one of the greatest drivers of crime in Chicago today.  The rhetoric and actions of politicians like Emmanuel, Foxx and others has fed into this false narrative.  (Jump ahead in the video to about 45:30 where the interview begins.)



Foxx Support by Precinct - Oct 2, 2017

It's good once in a while to look back and see things through the rear view mirror.  And if you've ever wondered where Kim Foxx received her support back in November of last year, here's a map of the voting tally by precinct.


Take a look at this map (above) and compare it with the current HeyJackass! Deadliest 'hoods of Chicago (below).



When you do, the unfortunate irony becomes apparent.  That's because some of Foxx's greatest support - precincts depicted in dark red - voted in excess of 90 percent in favor of Kim Foxx.  These are the very neighborhoods currently seeing some of the greatest carnage and crime in the city.

Click HERE to zoom in, and see your own precinct's results. You might be surprised (or not) how your neighbors voted for Cook County's current State's Attorney.

Other than a couple of small pockets (which voted in the high 60 percentages in favor of Foxx), most of Bucktown's precincts voted between 70 to 79% for Foxx.

We just wonder how many Chicago residents feel about their vote now and wish they could do it over.

(Source for data: Chicago Board of Elections.  "2017 Deadliest 'hoods" used by permission www.heyjackass.com)


FBI 2016 Crime Statistics Released

The FBI released crime data for all of 2016.  Just like Chicago, violent crime continued to trend upward nationwide for the year.

And just like Chicago, one must assume the catalyst for the nationwide increase is the false narrative of Black Lives Matter and similar anti-police groups.  Next up, we will attempt to take a look at racial make up of victims/assailants and look at police involved shootings in Chicago the same way Heather Mac Donald did here in her recent article.

28 Fewer Wards - Sept 26, 2017

The city of Chicago publishes CompStat data for each district (example here), and these weekly reports compare crime statistics, typically violent crimes that concern most citizens like burglary, robbery, criminal trespass and more.  From the reports command staff can measure how the districts are performing.  If the district is not showing improvement, the district has to answer for this, and that's when additional pressure on officers for improvement follows (aka quotas).  These CompStat reports are also available to anyone in the community paying attention.  They are usually shared at neighborhood CAPS meetings.

So here's a novel idea:  What if Chicago published weekly CompStat data based on ward, not district.  Like the following.  Below are current year's incidents of crime (Homicide, Burglary, Robbery,  Assault, Battery, Criminal Sexual Assault, Criminal Trespass, Theft, Weapons Violation) compared to the previous two years.  

By looking at crime by ward, aldermen could share in the responsibility of crime rates - it would no longer just be "the police's fault" if crime was on the rise. 



Data Source:  City of Chicago

Taking this idea a step further, what if we could remap the ward boundaries to match the police district boundaries?  

There are currently 22 police districts in the city of Chicago.  We, citizens, could ask for a reduction in the total number of wards from 50 to 22.  Because let's all be completely honest, does anyone really believe we need 50 aldermen to run the city?


This reduction would of course mean 28 aldermen would be out of jobs, but think of the savings. Chicago politicians are all about cutting out fat, like, for example, when they eliminated three police districts, and called it "efficiency" and a move to stop a "redundant administrative structure".  By cutting out these aldermen's 27 salaries, Chicago could save 3.2 million dollars (based on an average of $118,000 salary per alderman, as of 2015).  


Furthermore, there would be savings from fewer staffing needs at each ward.  This would be another 4.2 million in tax dollars saved (at roughly $181,800 per ward).  So almost 7.5 million in savings in salaries ALONE.   This is just the beginning of where we could find precious dollars by efficiently reducing Chicago from 50 to 22 wards.   Imagine a city with fewer wards and aldermen.

There are other benefits.  For one, no more ridiculous ward mapping.  On the left side of the image below is the current ward map of Chicago. On the right is the current police district map for all of Chicago. 




Chicago residents would finally understand what ward they live in and what police district they live in - because we would combine the ward/district and they would be the same. 

The best part is by having a ward and district combined, it would allow aldermen to take a more visible position of responsibility for Chicago's crime to properly take ownership of the city's violence.  For example, if an angry citizen calls the police station and complains about crime, the caller could easily be passed to that same district's elected alderman, an official who actually participates in making policing policy changes.  



Or when a citizen complains to officers about a 30 or 45 minute response time for a robbery or burglary, the officer can simply say, "I'm sorry we are in RAP status - we have been for days.  We can't afford enough officers.  Please call alderman x of our district, who is in charge of the city's budget and financial oversight."  

Finally, as the crime continues unabated, and it becomes clear to everyone the Kim Foxx social justice experiment has failed - as it is so brilliantly doing before our eyes - police districts can simply direct the complaints to the district alderman, who, more than likely, blindly supported the election of Kim Foxx for Cook County States Attorney in the first place.    


Reported Incidents of Violent Crime By District - Sept 24, 2017

Data includes all reported incidents of crime by district, Jan 1 to Sept 15, 2015 to 2017.

(For the purpose of this chart, "Violent Crimes" is Homicide, Burglary, Robbery, Assault, Battery, Criminal Sexual Assault, Criminal Trespass, Theft, Weapons Violation).

As you can see 14th District (Bucktown's Police District) has fared badly along with most police districts of the city.  Crime has continued to increase over the last 2 years.

18th District has seen the greatest increase in crime compared to 2015.  16th District has seen the greatest decrease in crime.

Citywide (Grand Total), the entire city has seen an increase of over 9,000 more violent crimes than it did in 2015, an 8.2% increase.



Source: City of Chicago

19th District Arrest Map Sept 21, 2017

For our friends a little north and east of us. 

We're working on putting all these on the side bar as links.  

Until then, click on the map, zoom in and see an arrest for details.  




If you're using a mobile device, arrest details appear in pop up window.  All arrest details made available by Chicago Police Dept.  Juvenile arrests not included. 

14th District All Reported Incidents of Crime Jan 1 through Sept 12, 2017

Location of where all reported crimes the 14th district are located.  


Zoom in and click on a event for more details.